Optionity Daily Report 05/17/2013
Date: May 17, 2013
Daily Market Statistics
Source: Barrons
S&P 500 5-Day Daily Chart
(click to enlarge)
Source: Google Finance
Economic Calendar
(click to enlarge)
(click to enlarge)
Source: Briefing
Options Market Recap
The market sentiment was driven by extreme greed with Fear & Greed Index at 91, which had increased from the previous day closing of 87. As reported by CBOE, the total put/call ratio was 0.81 for the day. The index put/call ratio was 0.96, and the equity put/call ratio was 0.50. The CBOE volatility index (VIX) put/call ratio was 0.54. The stocks with unusual call activities had been identified through our daily options scanning process, with the scanning criteria where the daily call option volume ratio was above 2.00 (2x of the average call option volume) with a call option volume above 20,000. Unusual option activities can be an indicator or precursor of a major movement for the underlying stock.
(click to enlarge)
Source: Schaeffer’s Research
Stocks with Unusual Volume
Below is the top 10 list obtained from AVAFIN.com for options alert with the following screening criteria:
- Unusual Volume
- 300% spike in volume
- In all sectors and all industries
(click to enlarge)
Source: AVAFIN.COM
Market Volatility and Analysis
(click to enlarge)
For Option Equity Put/Call Ratio, the MACD (12, 26, 9) remains bearish. RSI (14) has decreased and indicates a bearish lean. RSI (14) closed at 42.72 (previous closing of 44.36). MACD is closing at -0.015. The market is expected to decline if both MACD and RSI are bullish, right now both are bearish. Watch out for “Sell in May and Go Away” effect.(click to enlarge)
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
SPY opened higher and closed strongly higher at $166.97 (0.99%). The volume was 29.86M. On weekly basis, the MACD (12, 2, 9) is showing a bullish trend and the MACD Histogram increased in the last trading day and closed at 0.803. SPY is currently trading above its 200-day MA of $122.29 and its 50-day MA of $144.80. RSI (14) increased and closed at 77.46.
Optionity Core-20 Options Portfolio (Credit Put Strategy)
Stock criteria:
- Large Cap with low beta
- Fair/Under-valued
- Consistent, strong earnings
- Dividend distribution
- High liquidity, large volume
- Good/strong economic moat
This options portfolio consists of 20 core stocks. The portfolio will employee mainly the credit put strategy with the primary objective of generating consistent cash flow. The portfolio focuses on 1) sufficient sector diversification 2) risk/reward ratio control 3) margin of safety by leveraging options.
Daily portfolio performance will be updated at Seeking Alpha Instablog and Optionity.com.
Transaction details will be updated whenever new position is opened or the existing position is closed/expired/adjusted.
Core-20 Stocks Update
(click to enlarge)
Source: Seeking Alpha
Existing Position(s):
Core 20 Positions:
MDLZ credit short put spread $22/$25 June 21, 2013 ($0.31 credit, established on February 15, 2013)
INTC short put $21 May 17, 2013 ($0.34 credit, established on April 17, 2013) => Closed short put $21 at $0.10 on April 22, 2013. $0.24 profit => Set up a new INTC short put $22 May 17, 2013 position ($0.30 credit, established on April 22, 2013) => Closed short put $22 at $0.09 on April 29, 2013. $0.21 profit => Set up a new INTC credit short put $21/$23 May 17, 2013 position ($0.24 credit, established on April 29, 2013). => Closed INTC short put $21/$23 May 17 position at $0.06 on May 7, 2013. $0.18 profit (10.23% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days). Setup a new credit short put spread $21/$23 June 21, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on May 7, 2013)
CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.47 credit, established on May 6, 2013)
ORCL short put $30/$32 June 21, 2013 ($0.345 credit, established on May 6, 2013)
CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.35 credit, established on May 13, 2013)
Other Options Positions:
HL credit short put spread $3.5/$4.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 11, 2013) => Acquired HL share at cost of $4.18
ZNGA credit short put spread $2.5/$3 June 21, 2013 ($0.16 credit, established on March 25, 2013) => Closed 2/3 of position at the cost of $0.07, with a profit of $0.09 on May 13, 2013.
PBI credit short put spread $11/$13 June 21, 2013 ($0.375 credit, established on May 1, 2013) *Buying on Weakness => Reduced the position by 1/2, closed at $0.20 with a profit on May 3, 2013
CHKP credit short put spread $43/$45 July 20, 2013 ($0.40 credit, established on May 9, 2013)
Closed Position(s):
GLW credit short put spread $11/$12 Mar. 15, 2013 ($0.23 credit, established on February 7, 2013) => Closed short put $12 at $0.07 on February 20, 2013. $0.16 profit (20.78% Return on Margin, 13 days, including non-trading days). $11 put position was sold for $0.04 on February 26, 2013, adding $0.04 to the total profit.
ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 21, 2013) => Closed position on April 11, 2013. $0.23 profit (13.69% Return on Margin, 21 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.55 credit, established on March 6, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.15 profit (7.69% Return on Margin, 40 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.75 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.35 profit (20% Return on Margin, 27 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on February 25, 2013) => Closed short put $52.5 put at $0.05 on April 19, 2013. $0.25 profit (11.36% return on margin, 55 days, including non-trading days)
TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 April 20, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on March 7, 2013) => Closed short put $37.5 at $0.02 on April 19, 2013. $0.17 profit (7.36% return on margin, 42 days, including non-trading days)
AKAM credit short put spread $30/$32 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on February 13, 2013) => Closed AKAM short put $32 at $0.03 on April 25, 2013. $0.35 profit (21.60% return on margin, 72 days, including non-trading days)
ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on March 25, 2013) => Closed ORCL short put $31 at $0.06 on May 1, 2013. $0.32 profit (19.75% return on margin, 36 days, including non-trading days)
QCOM credit short put spread $57.5/$60 May 17, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on April 25, 2013) => Closed QCOM short put spread $29/$31 at $0.06 on May 3, 2013. $0.24 profit (10.91% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.51 credit, established on February 14, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.14 on May 3, 2013. $0.37 profit (18.60% return on margin, 79 days, including non-trading days)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.36 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.156 on May 3, 2013. $0.204 profit (9.53% return on margin, 44 days, including non-trading days)
TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 May 18, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on April 1, 2013) => Closed TEVA short put spread $35/$37.5 at $0.13 on May 3, 2013. $0.19 profit (8.72% return on margin, 32 days, including non-trading days)
NOK credit short put spread $2.5/$3.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.37 credit, established on April 18, 2013) *High Reward/High Risk Position => Reduced the position by 1/3, closed at $0.23 with a profit on May 3, 2013. => Closed the remaining NOK short put spread $2.5/$3.5 at $0.08 on May 7, 2013. $0.29 profit (46% return on margin, 19 days, including non-trading days)
WFM credit put spread $80.5/$83 May 17, 2013 ($0.68 credit, established on March 13, 2013) => Closed WFM short put $83 May 17, 2013 at $0.05 on May 8, 2013. $0.63 profit (34.62% return on margin, 56 days, including non-trading days)
All rights reserved © Optionity 2013
Optionity Daily Report 05/16/2013
Date: May 16, 2013
Daily Market Statistics
Source: Barrons
S&P 500 5-Day Daily Chart
(click to enlarge)
Source: Google Finance
Economic Calendar
(click to enlarge)
Source: Briefing
Options Market Recap
The market sentiment was driven by greed with Fear & Greed Index at 87, which had remained the same as the previous day closing of 87. As reported by CBOE, the total put/call ratio was 0.99 for the day. The index put/call ratio was 1.35, and the equity put/call ratio was 0.54. The CBOE volatility index (VIX) put/call ratio was 0.54. The stocks with unusual call activities had been identified through our daily options scanning process, with the scanning criteria where the daily call option volume ratio was above 2.00 (2x of the average call option volume) with a call option volume above 20,000. Unusual option activities can be an indicator or precursor of a major movement for the underlying stock.
(click to enlarge)
Source: Schaeffer’s Research
Stocks with Unusual Volume
Below is the top 10 list obtained from AVAFIN.com for options alert with the following screening criteria:
- Unusual Volume
- 300% spike in volume
- In all sectors and all industries
(click to enlarge)
Source: AVAFIN.COM
Market Volatility and Analysis
(click to enlarge)
For Option Equity Put/Call Ratio, the MACD (12, 26, 9) remains bearish. RSI (14) has increased but still indicates a bearish lean. RSI (14) closed at 44.36 (previous closing of 43.53). MACD is closing at -0.012. The market is expected to decline if both MACD and RSI are bullish, right now both are bearish. Watch out for “Sell in May and Go Away” effect.(click to enlarge)
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
SPY opened lower and closed lower at $165.34 (-0.49%). The volume was 26.12M. On weekly basis, the MACD (12, 2, 9) is showing a bullish trend and the MACD Histogram decreased in the last trading day and closed at 0.701. SPY is currently trading above its 200-day MA of $122.28 and its 50-day MA of $144.77. RSI (14) decreased and closed at 76.11.
Optionity Core-20 Options Portfolio (Credit Put Strategy)
Stock criteria:
- Large Cap with low beta
- Fair/Under-valued
- Consistent, strong earnings
- Dividend distribution
- High liquidity, large volume
- Good/strong economic moat
This options portfolio consists of 20 core stocks. The portfolio will employee mainly the credit put strategy with the primary objective of generating consistent cash flow. The portfolio focuses on 1) sufficient sector diversification 2) risk/reward ratio control 3) margin of safety by leveraging options.
Daily portfolio performance will be updated at Seeking Alpha Instablog and Optionity.com.
Transaction details will be updated whenever new position is opened or the existing position is closed/expired/adjusted.
Core-20 Stocks Update
(click to enlarge)
Source: Seeking Alpha
Existing Position(s):
Core 20 Positions:
MDLZ credit short put spread $22/$25 June 21, 2013 ($0.31 credit, established on February 15, 2013)
INTC short put $21 May 17, 2013 ($0.34 credit, established on April 17, 2013) => Closed short put $21 at $0.10 on April 22, 2013. $0.24 profit => Set up a new INTC short put $22 May 17, 2013 position ($0.30 credit, established on April 22, 2013) => Closed short put $22 at $0.09 on April 29, 2013. $0.21 profit => Set up a new INTC credit short put $21/$23 May 17, 2013 position ($0.24 credit, established on April 29, 2013). => Closed INTC short put $21/$23 May 17 position at $0.06 on May 7, 2013. $0.18 profit (10.23% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days). Setup a new credit short put spread $21/$23 June 21, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on May 7, 2013)
CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.47 credit, established on May 6, 2013)
ORCL short put $30/$32 June 21, 2013 ($0.345 credit, established on May 6, 2013)
CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.35 credit, established on May 13, 2013)
Other Options Positions:
HL credit short put spread $3.5/$4.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 11, 2013) => Acquired HL share at cost of $4.18
ZNGA credit short put spread $2.5/$3 June 21, 2013 ($0.16 credit, established on March 25, 2013) => Closed 2/3 of position at the cost of $0.07, with a profit of $0.09 on May 13, 2013.
PBI credit short put spread $11/$13 June 21, 2013 ($0.375 credit, established on May 1, 2013) *Buying on Weakness => Reduced the position by 1/2, closed at $0.20 with a profit on May 3, 2013
CHKP credit short put spread $43/$45 July 20, 2013 ($0.40 credit, established on May 9, 2013)
Closed Position(s):
GLW credit short put spread $11/$12 Mar. 15, 2013 ($0.23 credit, established on February 7, 2013) => Closed short put $12 at $0.07 on February 20, 2013. $0.16 profit (20.78% Return on Margin, 13 days, including non-trading days). $11 put position was sold for $0.04 on February 26, 2013, adding $0.04 to the total profit.
ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 21, 2013) => Closed position on April 11, 2013. $0.23 profit (13.69% Return on Margin, 21 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.55 credit, established on March 6, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.15 profit (7.69% Return on Margin, 40 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.75 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.35 profit (20% Return on Margin, 27 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on February 25, 2013) => Closed short put $52.5 put at $0.05 on April 19, 2013. $0.25 profit (11.36% return on margin, 55 days, including non-trading days)
TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 April 20, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on March 7, 2013) => Closed short put $37.5 at $0.02 on April 19, 2013. $0.17 profit (7.36% return on margin, 42 days, including non-trading days)
AKAM credit short put spread $30/$32 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on February 13, 2013) => Closed AKAM short put $32 at $0.03 on April 25, 2013. $0.35 profit (21.60% return on margin, 72 days, including non-trading days)
ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on March 25, 2013) => Closed ORCL short put $31 at $0.06 on May 1, 2013. $0.32 profit (19.75% return on margin, 36 days, including non-trading days)
QCOM credit short put spread $57.5/$60 May 17, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on April 25, 2013) => Closed QCOM short put spread $29/$31 at $0.06 on May 3, 2013. $0.24 profit (10.91% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.51 credit, established on February 14, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.14 on May 3, 2013. $0.37 profit (18.60% return on margin, 79 days, including non-trading days)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.36 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.156 on May 3, 2013. $0.204 profit (9.53% return on margin, 44 days, including non-trading days)
TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 May 18, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on April 1, 2013) => Closed TEVA short put spread $35/$37.5 at $0.13 on May 3, 2013. $0.19 profit (8.72% return on margin, 32 days, including non-trading days)
NOK credit short put spread $2.5/$3.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.37 credit, established on April 18, 2013) *High Reward/High Risk Position => Reduced the position by 1/3, closed at $0.23 with a profit on May 3, 2013. => Closed the remaining NOK short put spread $2.5/$3.5 at $0.08 on May 7, 2013. $0.29 profit (46% return on margin, 19 days, including non-trading days)
WFM credit put spread $80.5/$83 May 17, 2013 ($0.68 credit, established on March 13, 2013) => Closed WFM short put $83 May 17, 2013 at $0.05 on May 8, 2013. $0.63 profit (34.62% return on margin, 56 days, including non-trading days)
All rights reserved © Optionity 2013
Zynga: A Safer Bet Now? [Seeking Alpha]
Zynga (ZNGA), as the world’s leading provider of social game services, continues to expand into the mobile end. By launching Running With Friends on May 9, 2013, Zynga further expands it mobile portfolio. Similar to the previous launch of Draw Something 2 in April, Running With Friends is available on iPhone, iPad, and iPod touch. These new titles should contribute to Zynga’s declining revenues in the coming quarters.
Draw Something 2 ranked No. 60 on the list of top grossing apps and No. 19 on top paid apps as of May 15, 2013. Draw Something 2 is estimated to generate $53,943 daily revenue, as seen from the data below.
(click to enlarge)
Source: Think Gaming
While this revenue estimate for Draw Something 2 may be limited by the publicly available data and Think Gaming’s proprietary models, it indicates a solid start for Draw Something 2. There are two major positive catalysts for Zynga, including the growth on the mobile end and expansion into real-money games, whereas Zynga just launched its first ever real-money games in the UK in April.
Optionity Daily Report 05/15/2013
Date: May 15, 2013
Daily Market Statistics
Source: Barrons
S&P 500 5-Day Daily Chart
(click to enlarge)
Source: Google Finance
Economic Calendar
(click to enlarge)
Source: Briefing
Options Market Recap
The market sentiment was driven by greed with Fear & Greed Index at 87, which had increased from the previous day closing of 86. As reported by CBOE, the total put/call ratio was 0.78 for the day. The index put/call ratio was 0.69, and the equity put/call ratio was 0.52. The CBOE volatility index (VIX) put/call ratio was 0.37. The stocks with unusual call activities had been identified through our daily options scanning process, with the scanning criteria where the daily call option volume ratio was above 2.00 (2x of the average call option volume) with a call option volume above 20,000. Unusual option activities can be an indicator or precursor of a major movement for the underlying stock.
(click to enlarge)
Source: Schaeffer’s Research
Stocks with Unusual Volume
Below is the top 10 list obtained from AVAFIN.com for options alert with the following screening criteria:
- Unusual Volume
- 300% spike in volume
- In all sectors and all industries
(click to enlarge)
Source: AVAFIN.COM
Market Volatility and Analysis
(click to enlarge)
For Option Equity Put/Call Ratio, the MACD (12, 26, 9) remains bearish. RSI (14) has not changed and still indicates a bearish lean. RSI (14) closed at 43.53 (previous closing of 43.53). MACD is closing at -0.013. The market is expected to decline if both MACD and RSI are bullish, right now both are bearish. Watch out for “Sell in May and Go Away” effect.(click to enlarge)
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
SPY opened lower and closed higher at $166.15 (+0.53%). The volume was 28.52M. On weekly basis, the MACD (12, 2, 9) is showing a bullish trend and the MACD Histogram increased in the last trading day and closed at 0.750. SPY is currently trading above its 200-day MA of $122.28 and its 50-day MA of $144.78. RSI (14) increased and closed at 76.79.
Optionity Core-20 Options Portfolio (Credit Put Strategy)
Stock criteria:
- Large Cap with low beta
- Fair/Under-valued
- Consistent, strong earnings
- Dividend distribution
- High liquidity, large volume
- Good/strong economic moat
This options portfolio consists of 20 core stocks. The portfolio will employee mainly the credit put strategy with the primary objective of generating consistent cash flow. The portfolio focuses on 1) sufficient sector diversification 2) risk/reward ratio control 3) margin of safety by leveraging options.
Daily portfolio performance will be updated at Seeking Alpha Instablog and Optionity.com.
Transaction details will be updated whenever new position is opened or the existing position is closed/expired/adjusted.
Core-20 Stocks Update
(click to enlarge)
Source: Seeking Alpha
Existing Position(s):
Core 20 Positions:
MDLZ credit short put spread $22/$25 June 21, 2013 ($0.31 credit, established on February 15, 2013)
INTC short put $21 May 17, 2013 ($0.34 credit, established on April 17, 2013) => Closed short put $21 at $0.10 on April 22, 2013. $0.24 profit => Set up a new INTC short put $22 May 17, 2013 position ($0.30 credit, established on April 22, 2013) => Closed short put $22 at $0.09 on April 29, 2013. $0.21 profit => Set up a new INTC credit short put $21/$23 May 17, 2013 position ($0.24 credit, established on April 29, 2013). => Closed INTC short put $21/$23 May 17 position at $0.06 on May 7, 2013. $0.18 profit (10.23% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days). Setup a new credit short put spread $21/$23 June 21, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on May 7, 2013)
CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.47 credit, established on May 6, 2013)
ORCL short put $30/$32 June 21, 2013 ($0.345 credit, established on May 6, 2013)
CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.35 credit, established on May 13, 2013)
Other Options Positions:
HL credit short put spread $3.5/$4.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 11, 2013) => Acquired HL share at cost of $4.18
ZNGA credit short put spread $2.5/$3 June 21, 2013 ($0.16 credit, established on March 25, 2013) => Closed 2/3 of position at the cost of $0.07, with a profit of $0.09 on May 13, 2013.
PBI credit short put spread $11/$13 June 21, 2013 ($0.375 credit, established on May 1, 2013) *Buying on Weakness => Reduced the position by 1/2, closed at $0.20 with a profit on May 3, 2013
CHKP credit short put spread $43/$45 July 20, 2013 ($0.40 credit, established on May 9, 2013)
Closed Position(s):
GLW credit short put spread $11/$12 Mar. 15, 2013 ($0.23 credit, established on February 7, 2013) => Closed short put $12 at $0.07 on February 20, 2013. $0.16 profit (20.78% Return on Margin, 13 days, including non-trading days). $11 put position was sold for $0.04 on February 26, 2013, adding $0.04 to the total profit.
ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 21, 2013) => Closed position on April 11, 2013. $0.23 profit (13.69% Return on Margin, 21 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.55 credit, established on March 6, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.15 profit (7.69% Return on Margin, 40 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.75 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.35 profit (20% Return on Margin, 27 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on February 25, 2013) => Closed short put $52.5 put at $0.05 on April 19, 2013. $0.25 profit (11.36% return on margin, 55 days, including non-trading days)
TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 April 20, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on March 7, 2013) => Closed short put $37.5 at $0.02 on April 19, 2013. $0.17 profit (7.36% return on margin, 42 days, including non-trading days)
AKAM credit short put spread $30/$32 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on February 13, 2013) => Closed AKAM short put $32 at $0.03 on April 25, 2013. $0.35 profit (21.60% return on margin, 72 days, including non-trading days)
ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on March 25, 2013) => Closed ORCL short put $31 at $0.06 on May 1, 2013. $0.32 profit (19.75% return on margin, 36 days, including non-trading days)
QCOM credit short put spread $57.5/$60 May 17, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on April 25, 2013) => Closed QCOM short put spread $29/$31 at $0.06 on May 3, 2013. $0.24 profit (10.91% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.51 credit, established on February 14, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.14 on May 3, 2013. $0.37 profit (18.60% return on margin, 79 days, including non-trading days)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.36 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.156 on May 3, 2013. $0.204 profit (9.53% return on margin, 44 days, including non-trading days)
TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 May 18, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on April 1, 2013) => Closed TEVA short put spread $35/$37.5 at $0.13 on May 3, 2013. $0.19 profit (8.72% return on margin, 32 days, including non-trading days)
NOK credit short put spread $2.5/$3.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.37 credit, established on April 18, 2013) *High Reward/High Risk Position => Reduced the position by 1/3, closed at $0.23 with a profit on May 3, 2013. => Closed the remaining NOK short put spread $2.5/$3.5 at $0.08 on May 7, 2013. $0.29 profit (46% return on margin, 19 days, including non-trading days)
WFM credit put spread $80.5/$83 May 17, 2013 ($0.68 credit, established on March 13, 2013) => Closed WFM short put $83 May 17, 2013 at $0.05 on May 8, 2013. $0.63 profit (34.62% return on margin, 56 days, including non-trading days)
All rights reserved © Optionity 2013
Optionity Daily Report 05/14/2013
Date: May 14, 2013
Daily Market Statistics
Source: Barrons
S&P 500 5-Day Daily Chart
(click to enlarge)
Source: Google Finance
Economic Calendar
(click to enlarge)
Source: Briefing
Options Market Recap
The market sentiment was driven by greed with Fear & Greed Index at 87, which had increased from the previous day closing of 84. As reported by CBOE, the total put/call ratio was 0.81 for the day. The index put/call ratio was 0.96, and the equity put/call ratio was 0.52. The CBOE volatility index (VIX) put/call ratio was 0.78. The stocks with unusual call activities had been identified through our daily options scanning process, with the scanning criteria where the daily call option volume ratio was above 2.00 (2x of the average call option volume) with a call option volume above 20,000. Unusual option activities can be an indicator or precursor of a major movement for the underlying stock.
(click to enlarge)
Source: Schaeffer’s Research
Stocks with Unusual Volume
Below is the top 10 list obtained from AVAFIN.com for options alert with the following screening criteria:
- Unusual Volume
- 300% spike in volume
- In all sectors and all industries
(click to enlarge)
Source: AVAFIN.COM
Market Volatility and Analysis
(click to enlarge)
For Option Equity Put/Call Ratio, the MACD (12, 26, 9) remains bearish. RSI (14) has decreased and still indicates a slightly bearish lean. RSI (14) closed at 43.53 (previous closing of 47.12). MACD is closing at -0.013. The market is expected to decline if both MACD and RSI are bullish, right now both are bearish. Watch out for “Sell in May and Go Away” effect.(click to enlarge)
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
SPY opened slightly higher and closed strongly higher at $165.28 (+0.08%). The volume was 27.99M. On weekly basis, the MACD (12, 2, 9) is showing a bullish trend and the MACD Histogram increased in the last trading day and closed at 0.694. SPY is currently trading above its 200-day MA of $122.28 and its 50-day MA of $144.77. RSI (14) increased and closed at 76.02.
Optionity Core-20 Options Portfolio (Credit Put Strategy)
Stock criteria:
- Large Cap with low beta
- Fair/Under-valued
- Consistent, strong earnings
- Dividend distribution
- High liquidity, large volume
- Good/strong economic moat
This options portfolio consists of 20 core stocks. The portfolio will employee mainly the credit put strategy with the primary objective of generating consistent cash flow. The portfolio focuses on 1) sufficient sector diversification 2) risk/reward ratio control 3) margin of safety by leveraging options.
Daily portfolio performance will be updated at Seeking Alpha Instablog and Optionity.com.
Transaction details will be updated whenever new position is opened or the existing position is closed/expired/adjusted.
Core-20 Stocks Update
(click to enlarge)
Source: Seeking Alpha
Existing Position(s):
Core 20 Positions:
MDLZ credit short put spread $22/$25 June 21, 2013 ($0.31 credit, established on February 15, 2013)
INTC short put $21 May 17, 2013 ($0.34 credit, established on April 17, 2013) => Closed short put $21 at $0.10 on April 22, 2013. $0.24 profit => Set up a new INTC short put $22 May 17, 2013 position ($0.30 credit, established on April 22, 2013) => Closed short put $22 at $0.09 on April 29, 2013. $0.21 profit => Set up a new INTC credit short put $21/$23 May 17, 2013 position ($0.24 credit, established on April 29, 2013). => Closed INTC short put $21/$23 May 17 position at $0.06 on May 7, 2013. $0.18 profit (10.23% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days). Setup a new credit short put spread $21/$23 June 21, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on May 7, 2013)
CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.47 credit, established on May 6, 2013)
ORCL short put $30/$32 June 21, 2013 ($0.345 credit, established on May 6, 2013)
CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.35 credit, established on May 13, 2013)
Other Options Positions:
HL credit short put spread $3.5/$4.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 11, 2013) => Acquired HL share at cost of $4.18
ZNGA credit short put spread $2.5/$3 June 21, 2013 ($0.16 credit, established on March 25, 2013) => Closed 2/3 of position at the cost of $0.07, with a profit of $0.09 on May 13, 2013.
PBI credit short put spread $11/$13 June 21, 2013 ($0.375 credit, established on May 1, 2013) *Buying on Weakness => Reduced the position by 1/2, closed at $0.20 with a profit on May 3, 2013
CHKP credit short put spread $43/$45 July 20, 2013 ($0.40 credit, established on May 9, 2013)
Closed Position(s):
GLW credit short put spread $11/$12 Mar. 15, 2013 ($0.23 credit, established on February 7, 2013) => Closed short put $12 at $0.07 on February 20, 2013. $0.16 profit (20.78% Return on Margin, 13 days, including non-trading days). $11 put position was sold for $0.04 on February 26, 2013, adding $0.04 to the total profit.
ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 21, 2013) => Closed position on April 11, 2013. $0.23 profit (13.69% Return on Margin, 21 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.55 credit, established on March 6, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.15 profit (7.69% Return on Margin, 40 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.75 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.35 profit (20% Return on Margin, 27 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on February 25, 2013) => Closed short put $52.5 put at $0.05 on April 19, 2013. $0.25 profit (11.36% return on margin, 55 days, including non-trading days)
TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 April 20, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on March 7, 2013) => Closed short put $37.5 at $0.02 on April 19, 2013. $0.17 profit (7.36% return on margin, 42 days, including non-trading days)
AKAM credit short put spread $30/$32 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on February 13, 2013) => Closed AKAM short put $32 at $0.03 on April 25, 2013. $0.35 profit (21.60% return on margin, 72 days, including non-trading days)
ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on March 25, 2013) => Closed ORCL short put $31 at $0.06 on May 1, 2013. $0.32 profit (19.75% return on margin, 36 days, including non-trading days)
QCOM credit short put spread $57.5/$60 May 17, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on April 25, 2013) => Closed QCOM short put spread $29/$31 at $0.06 on May 3, 2013. $0.24 profit (10.91% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.51 credit, established on February 14, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.14 on May 3, 2013. $0.37 profit (18.60% return on margin, 79 days, including non-trading days)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.36 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.156 on May 3, 2013. $0.204 profit (9.53% return on margin, 44 days, including non-trading days)
TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 May 18, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on April 1, 2013) => Closed TEVA short put spread $35/$37.5 at $0.13 on May 3, 2013. $0.19 profit (8.72% return on margin, 32 days, including non-trading days)
NOK credit short put spread $2.5/$3.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.37 credit, established on April 18, 2013) *High Reward/High Risk Position => Reduced the position by 1/3, closed at $0.23 with a profit on May 3, 2013. => Closed the remaining NOK short put spread $2.5/$3.5 at $0.08 on May 7, 2013. $0.29 profit (46% return on margin, 19 days, including non-trading days)
WFM credit put spread $80.5/$83 May 17, 2013 ($0.68 credit, established on March 13, 2013) => Closed WFM short put $83 May 17, 2013 at $0.05 on May 8, 2013. $0.63 profit (34.62% return on margin, 56 days, including non-trading days)
All rights reserved © Optionity 2013
Mosaic: Increasing Leverage And Suspending Expansion?
Mosaic Co. (MOS), the largest U.S. fertilizer producer, continues to focus on achieving a more efficient balance sheet. Investors should not be surprised by Mosaic’ target to increase its financial leverage. After the latest Q3 report, the management indicated its intention to reduce the company’s cash and increase the leverage. The management emphasized its targets in the company’s conference call on capital management philosophy.
Higher leverage
Mosaic’s capital becomes flexible after May 26, which is the two year anniversary of the Cargill split-off transaction. The top priority for the management is to maintain an investment grade rating and financial flexibility for Mosaic’s balance sheet. For liquidity, the management set a target of $2.25 billion, with one-third of cash and two-thirds credit line. Management also wants to maintain a targeted leverage ratio (or adjusted debt-to-EBITDA) of 1.5 times, which means the management can issue additional $3 billion of debt on top of current $1.5 billion debt with $3 billion of EBITDA.
Concerns
The final 2 million tons of Mosaic’s Potash expansion strategy is deferred, which will be resumed when market conditions warrants and when risk adjustable returns justify. It may first appear to be correlated to suspend the expansion strategy while increasing the leverage for the balance sheet to repurchase more shares and return more capital to shareholders; however, the management stated that they were two separate decisions.
Read MORE.
Optionity Daily Report 05/13/2013
Date: May 13, 2013
Daily Market Statistics
Source: Barrons
S&P 500 5-Day Daily Chart
(click to enlarge)
Source: Google Finance
Economic Calendar
(click to enlarge)
Source: Briefing
Options Market Recap
The market sentiment was driven by greed with Fear & Greed Index at 84, which had increased from the previous day closing of 79. As reported by CBOE, the total put/call ratio was 0.87 for the day. The index put/call ratio was 0.96, and the equity put/call ratio was 0.60. The CBOE volatility index (VIX) put/call ratio was 0.43. The stocks with unusual call activities had been identified through our daily options scanning process, with the scanning criteria where the daily call option volume ratio was above 2.00 (2x of the average call option volume) with a call option volume above 20,000. Unusual option activities can be an indicator or precursor of a major movement for the underlying stock.
(click to enlarge)
Source: Schaeffer’s Research
Stocks with Unusual Volume
Below is the top 10 list obtained from AVAFIN.com for options alert with the following screening criteria:
- Unusual Volume
- 300% spike in volume
- In all sectors and all industries
(click to enlarge)
Source: AVAFIN.COM
Market Volatility and Analysis
(click to enlarge)
For Option Equity Put/Call Ratio, the MACD (12, 26, 9) remains bearish. RSI (14) has increased slightly but still indicates a slightly bearish lean. RSI (14) closed at 47.12 (previous closing of 46.59). MACD is closing at -0.007. The market is expected to decline if both MACD and RSI are bullish, right now both are slightly bearish. Watch out for “Sell in May and Go Away” effect.(click to enlarge)
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
SPY opened lower and closed slightly higher at $163.54 (+0.08%). The volume was 18.30M. On weekly basis, the MACD (12, 2, 9) is showing a bullish trend and the MACD Histogram increased in the last trading day and closed at 0.586. SPY is currently trading above its 200-day MA of $122.27 and its 50-day MA of $144.73. RSI (14) increased and closed at 74.39.
Optionity Core-20 Options Portfolio (Credit Put Strategy)
Stock criteria:
- Large Cap with low beta
- Fair/Under-valued
- Consistent, strong earnings
- Dividend distribution
- High liquidity, large volume
- Good/strong economic moat
This options portfolio consists of 20 core stocks. The portfolio will employee mainly the credit put strategy with the primary objective of generating consistent cash flow. The portfolio focuses on 1) sufficient sector diversification 2) risk/reward ratio control 3) margin of safety by leveraging options.
Daily portfolio performance will be updated at Seeking Alpha Instablog and Optionity.com.
Transaction details will be updated whenever new position is opened or the existing position is closed/expired/adjusted.
Core-20 Stocks Update
(click to enlarge)
Source: Seeking Alpha
Existing Position(s):
Core 20 Positions:
MDLZ credit short put spread $22/$25 June 21, 2013 ($0.31 credit, established on February 15, 2013)
INTC short put $21 May 17, 2013 ($0.34 credit, established on April 17, 2013) => Closed short put $21 at $0.10 on April 22, 2013. $0.24 profit => Set up a new INTC short put $22 May 17, 2013 position ($0.30 credit, established on April 22, 2013) => Closed short put $22 at $0.09 on April 29, 2013. $0.21 profit => Set up a new INTC credit short put $21/$23 May 17, 2013 position ($0.24 credit, established on April 29, 2013). => Closed INTC short put $21/$23 May 17 position at $0.06 on May 7, 2013. $0.18 profit (10.23% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days). Setup a new credit short put spread $21/$23 June 21, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on May 7, 2013)
CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.47 credit, established on May 6, 2013)
ORCL short put $30/$32 June 21, 2013 ($0.345 credit, established on May 6, 2013)
CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.35 credit, established on May 13, 2013)
Other Options Positions:
HL credit short put spread $3.5/$4.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 11, 2013) => Acquired HL share at cost of $4.18
ZNGA credit short put spread $2.5/$3 June 21, 2013 ($0.16 credit, established on March 25, 2013) => Closed 2/3 of position at the cost of $0.07, with a profit of $0.09 on May 13, 2013.
PBI credit short put spread $11/$13 June 21, 2013 ($0.375 credit, established on May 1, 2013) *Buying on Weakness => Reduced the position by 1/2, closed at $0.20 with a profit on May 3, 2013
CHKP credit short put spread $43/$45 July 20, 2013 ($0.40 credit, established on May 9, 2013)
Closed Position(s):
GLW credit short put spread $11/$12 Mar. 15, 2013 ($0.23 credit, established on February 7, 2013) => Closed short put $12 at $0.07 on February 20, 2013. $0.16 profit (20.78% Return on Margin, 13 days, including non-trading days). $11 put position was sold for $0.04 on February 26, 2013, adding $0.04 to the total profit.
ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 21, 2013) => Closed position on April 11, 2013. $0.23 profit (13.69% Return on Margin, 21 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.55 credit, established on March 6, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.15 profit (7.69% Return on Margin, 40 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.75 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.35 profit (20% Return on Margin, 27 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on February 25, 2013) => Closed short put $52.5 put at $0.05 on April 19, 2013. $0.25 profit (11.36% return on margin, 55 days, including non-trading days)
TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 April 20, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on March 7, 2013) => Closed short put $37.5 at $0.02 on April 19, 2013. $0.17 profit (7.36% return on margin, 42 days, including non-trading days)
AKAM credit short put spread $30/$32 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on February 13, 2013) => Closed AKAM short put $32 at $0.03 on April 25, 2013. $0.35 profit (21.60% return on margin, 72 days, including non-trading days)
ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on March 25, 2013) => Closed ORCL short put $31 at $0.06 on May 1, 2013. $0.32 profit (19.75% return on margin, 36 days, including non-trading days)
QCOM credit short put spread $57.5/$60 May 17, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on April 25, 2013) => Closed QCOM short put spread $29/$31 at $0.06 on May 3, 2013. $0.24 profit (10.91% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.51 credit, established on February 14, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.14 on May 3, 2013. $0.37 profit (18.60% return on margin, 79 days, including non-trading days)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.36 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.156 on May 3, 2013. $0.204 profit (9.53% return on margin, 44 days, including non-trading days)
TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 May 18, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on April 1, 2013) => Closed TEVA short put spread $35/$37.5 at $0.13 on May 3, 2013. $0.19 profit (8.72% return on margin, 32 days, including non-trading days)
NOK credit short put spread $2.5/$3.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.37 credit, established on April 18, 2013) *High Reward/High Risk Position => Reduced the position by 1/3, closed at $0.23 with a profit on May 3, 2013. => Closed the remaining NOK short put spread $2.5/$3.5 at $0.08 on May 7, 2013. $0.29 profit (46% return on margin, 19 days, including non-trading days)
WFM credit put spread $80.5/$83 May 17, 2013 ($0.68 credit, established on March 13, 2013) => Closed WFM short put $83 May 17, 2013 at $0.05 on May 8, 2013. $0.63 profit (34.62% return on margin, 56 days, including non-trading days)
All rights reserved © Optionity 2013
Optionity Daily Report 05/10/2013
Date: May 10, 2013
Daily Market Statistics
Source: Barrons
S&P 500 5-Day Daily Chart
(click to enlarge)
Source: Google Finance
Economic Calendar
(click to enlarge)
(click to enlarge)
Source: Briefing
Options Market Recap
The market sentiment was driven by greed with Fear & Greed Index at 81, which had increased from the previous day closing of 74. As reported by CBOE, the total put/call ratio was 0.75 for the day. The index put/call ratio was 0.64, and the equity put/call ratio was 0.59. The CBOE volatility index (VIX) put/call ratio was 0.11. The stocks with unusual call activities had been identified through our daily options scanning process, with the scanning criteria where the daily call option volume ratio was above 2.00 (2x of the average call option volume) with a call option volume above 20,000. Unusual option activities can be an indicator or precursor of a major movement for the underlying stock.
(click to enlarge)
Source: Schaeffer’s Research
Stocks with Unusual Volume
Below is the top 10 list obtained from AVAFIN.com for options alert with the following screening criteria:
- Unusual Volume
- 300% spike in volume
- In all sectors and all industries
(click to enlarge)
Source: AVAFIN.COM
Market Volatility and Analysis
(click to enlarge)
For Option Equity Put/Call Ratio, the MACD (12, 26, 9) remains bearish. RSI (14) has increased slightly but still indicates a slightly bearish lean. RSI (14) closed at 46.59 (previous closing of 46.16). MACD is closing at -0.003. The market is expected to decline if both MACD and RSI are bullish, right now both are slightly bearish. Watch out for “Sell in May and Go Away” effect.(click to enlarge)
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
SPY opened nearly flat and closed higher at $163.41 (+0.29%). The volume was 22.70M. On weekly basis, the MACD (12, 2, 9) is showing a bullish trend and the MACD Histogram increased in the last trading day and closed at 0.554. SPY is currently trading above its 200-day MA of $121.89 and its 50-day MA of $143.97. RSI (14) increased and closed at 74.26.
Optionity Core-20 Options Portfolio (Credit Put Strategy)
Stock criteria:
- Large Cap with low beta
- Fair/Under-valued
- Consistent, strong earnings
- Dividend distribution
- High liquidity, large volume
- Good/strong economic moat
This options portfolio consists of 20 core stocks. The portfolio will employee mainly the credit put strategy with the primary objective of generating consistent cash flow. The portfolio focuses on 1) sufficient sector diversification 2) risk/reward ratio control 3) margin of safety by leveraging options.
Daily portfolio performance will be updated at Seeking Alpha Instablog and Optionity.com.
Transaction details will be updated whenever new position is opened or the existing position is closed/expired/adjusted.
Core-20 Stocks Update
(click to enlarge)
Source: Seeking Alpha
Existing Position(s):
Core 20 Positions:
MDLZ credit short put spread $22/$25 June 21, 2013 ($0.31 credit, established on February 15, 2013)
INTC short put $21 May 17, 2013 ($0.34 credit, established on April 17, 2013) => Closed short put $21 at $0.10 on April 22, 2013. $0.24 profit => Set up a new INTC short put $22 May 17, 2013 position ($0.30 credit, established on April 22, 2013) => Closed short put $22 at $0.09 on April 29, 2013. $0.21 profit => Set up a new INTC credit short put $21/$23 May 17, 2013 position ($0.24 credit, established on April 29, 2013). => Closed INTC short put $21/$23 May 17 position at $0.06 on May 7, 2013. $0.18 profit (10.23% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days). Setup a new credit short put spread $21/$23 June 21, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on May 7, 2013)
CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.47 credit, established on May 6, 2013)
ORCL short put $30/$32 June 21, 2013 ($0.345 credit, established on May 6, 2013)
Other Options Positions:
HL credit short put spread $3.5/$4.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 11, 2013) => Acquired HL share at cost of $4.18
ZNGA credit short put spread $2.5/$3 June 21, 2013 ($0.16 credit, established on March 25, 2013)
PBI credit short put spread $11/$13 June 21, 2013 ($0.375 credit, established on May 1, 2013) *Buying on Weakness => Reduced the position by 1/2, closed at $0.20 with a profit on May 3, 2013
CHKP credit short put spread $43/$45 July 20, 2013 ($0.40 credit, established on May 9, 2013)
Closed Position(s):
GLW credit short put spread $11/$12 Mar. 15, 2013 ($0.23 credit, established on February 7, 2013) => Closed short put $12 at $0.07 on February 20, 2013. $0.16 profit (20.78% Return on Margin, 13 days, including non-trading days). $11 put position was sold for $0.04 on February 26, 2013, adding $0.04 to the total profit.
ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 21, 2013) => Closed position on April 11, 2013. $0.23 profit (13.69% Return on Margin, 21 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.55 credit, established on March 6, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.15 profit (7.69% Return on Margin, 40 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.75 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.35 profit (20% Return on Margin, 27 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on February 25, 2013) => Closed short put $52.5 put at $0.05 on April 19, 2013. $0.25 profit (11.36% return on margin, 55 days, including non-trading days)
TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 April 20, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on March 7, 2013) => Closed short put $37.5 at $0.02 on April 19, 2013. $0.17 profit (7.36% return on margin, 42 days, including non-trading days)
AKAM credit short put spread $30/$32 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on February 13, 2013) => Closed AKAM short put $32 at $0.03 on April 25, 2013. $0.35 profit (21.60% return on margin, 72 days, including non-trading days)
ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on March 25, 2013) => Closed ORCL short put $31 at $0.06 on May 1, 2013. $0.32 profit (19.75% return on margin, 36 days, including non-trading days)
QCOM credit short put spread $57.5/$60 May 17, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on April 25, 2013) => Closed QCOM short put spread $29/$31 at $0.06 on May 3, 2013. $0.24 profit (10.91% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.51 credit, established on February 14, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.14 on May 3, 2013. $0.37 profit (18.60% return on margin, 79 days, including non-trading days)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.36 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.156 on May 3, 2013. $0.204 profit (9.53% return on margin, 44 days, including non-trading days)
TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 May 18, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on April 1, 2013) => Closed TEVA short put spread $35/$37.5 at $0.13 on May 3, 2013. $0.19 profit (8.72% return on margin, 32 days, including non-trading days)
NOK credit short put spread $2.5/$3.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.37 credit, established on April 18, 2013) *High Reward/High Risk Position => Reduced the position by 1/3, closed at $0.23 with a profit on May 3, 2013. => Closed the remaining NOK short put spread $2.5/$3.5 at $0.08 on May 7, 2013. $0.29 profit (46% return on margin, 19 days, including non-trading days)
WFM credit put spread $80.5/$83 May 17, 2013 ($0.68 credit, established on March 13, 2013) => Closed WFM short put $83 May 17, 2013 at $0.05 on May 8, 2013. $0.63 profit (34.62% return on margin, 56 days, including non-trading days)
All rights reserved © Optionity 2013
Optionity Daily Report 05/09/2013
Date: May 9, 2013
Daily Market Statistics
Source: Barrons
S&P 500 5-Day Daily Chart
(click to enlarge)
Source: Google Finance
Economic Calendar
(click to enlarge)
Source: Briefing
Options Market Recap
The market sentiment was driven by greed with Fear & Greed Index at 74, which was lower as compared to the previous day closing of 77. As reported by CBOE, the total put/call ratio was 1.00 for the day. The index put/call ratio was 1.02, and the equity put/call ratio was 0.58. The CBOE volatility index (VIX) put/call ratio was 0.50. The stocks with unusual call activities had been identified through our daily options scanning process, with the scanning criteria where the daily call option volume ratio was above 2.00 (2x of the average call option volume) with a call option volume above 20,000. Unusual option activities can be an indicator or precursor of a major movement for the underlying stock.
(click to enlarge)
Source: Schaeffer’s Research
Stocks with Unusual Volume
Below is the top 10 list obtained from AVAFIN.com for options alert with the following screening criteria:
- Unusual Volume
- 300% spike in volume
- In all sectors and all industries
(click to enlarge)
(click to enlarge)
Source: AVAFIN.COM
Market Volatility and Analysis
(click to enlarge)
For Option Equity Put/Call Ratio, the MACD (12, 26, 9) is turning bearish. RSI (14) has decreased and indicates a slightly bearish lean. RSI (14) closed at 46.16 (previous closing of 49.86). MACD is closing at -0.004. The market is expected to decline if both MACD and RSI are bullish, right now both are slightly bearish. Watch out for “Sell in May and Go Away” effect.(click to enlarge)
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
SPY opened flat and closed lower at $162.93 (-0.25%). The volume was 23.73M. On weekly basis, the MACD (12, 2, 9) is showing a bullish trend but the MACD Histogram decreased in the last trading day and closed at 0.520. SPY is currently trading above its 200-day MA of $121.89 and its 50-day MA of $143.96. RSI (14) decreased and closed at 73.74.
Optionity Core-20 Options Portfolio (Credit Put Strategy)
Stock criteria:
- Large Cap with low beta
- Fair/Under-valued
- Consistent, strong earnings
- Dividend distribution
- High liquidity, large volume
- Good/strong economic moat
This options portfolio consists of 20 core stocks. The portfolio will employee mainly the credit put strategy with the primary objective of generating consistent cash flow. The portfolio focuses on 1) sufficient sector diversification 2) risk/reward ratio control 3) margin of safety by leveraging options.
Daily portfolio performance will be updated at Seeking Alpha Instablog and Optionity.com.
Transaction details will be updated whenever new position is opened or the existing position is closed/expired/adjusted.
Core-20 Stocks Update
(click to enlarge)
Source: Seeking Alpha
Existing Position(s):
Core 20 Positions:
MDLZ credit short put spread $22/$25 June 21, 2013 ($0.31 credit, established on February 15, 2013)
INTC short put $21 May 17, 2013 ($0.34 credit, established on April 17, 2013) => Closed short put $21 at $0.10 on April 22, 2013. $0.24 profit => Set up a new INTC short put $22 May 17, 2013 position ($0.30 credit, established on April 22, 2013) => Closed short put $22 at $0.09 on April 29, 2013. $0.21 profit => Set up a new INTC credit short put $21/$23 May 17, 2013 position ($0.24 credit, established on April 29, 2013). => Closed INTC short put $21/$23 May 17 position at $0.06 on May 7, 2013. $0.18 profit (10.23% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days). Setup a new credit short put spread $21/$23 June 21, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on May 7, 2013)
CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.47 credit, established on May 6, 2013)
ORCL short put $30/$32 June 21, 2013 ($0.345 credit, established on May 6, 2013)
Other Options Positions:
HL credit short put spread $3.5/$4.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 11, 2013) => Acquired HL share at cost of $4.18
ZNGA credit short put spread $2.5/$3 June 21, 2013 ($0.16 credit, established on March 25, 2013)
PBI credit short put spread $11/$13 June 21, 2013 ($0.375 credit, established on May 1, 2013) *Buying on Weakness => Reduced the position by 1/2, closed at $0.20 with a profit on May 3, 2013
CHKP credit short put spread $43/$45 July 20, 2013 ($0.40 credit, established on May 9, 2013)
Closed Position(s):
GLW credit short put spread $11/$12 Mar. 15, 2013 ($0.23 credit, established on February 7, 2013) => Closed short put $12 at $0.07 on February 20, 2013. $0.16 profit (20.78% Return on Margin, 13 days, including non-trading days). $11 put position was sold for $0.04 on February 26, 2013, adding $0.04 to the total profit.
ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 21, 2013) => Closed position on April 11, 2013. $0.23 profit (13.69% Return on Margin, 21 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.55 credit, established on March 6, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.15 profit (7.69% Return on Margin, 40 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.75 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.35 profit (20% Return on Margin, 27 days, including non-trading days).
CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on February 25, 2013) => Closed short put $52.5 put at $0.05 on April 19, 2013. $0.25 profit (11.36% return on margin, 55 days, including non-trading days)
TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 April 20, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on March 7, 2013) => Closed short put $37.5 at $0.02 on April 19, 2013. $0.17 profit (7.36% return on margin, 42 days, including non-trading days)
AKAM credit short put spread $30/$32 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on February 13, 2013) => Closed AKAM short put $32 at $0.03 on April 25, 2013. $0.35 profit (21.60% return on margin, 72 days, including non-trading days)
ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on March 25, 2013) => Closed ORCL short put $31 at $0.06 on May 1, 2013. $0.32 profit (19.75% return on margin, 36 days, including non-trading days)
QCOM credit short put spread $57.5/$60 May 17, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on April 25, 2013) => Closed QCOM short put spread $29/$31 at $0.06 on May 3, 2013. $0.24 profit (10.91% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.51 credit, established on February 14, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.14 on May 3, 2013. $0.37 profit (18.60% return on margin, 79 days, including non-trading days)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.36 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.156 on May 3, 2013. $0.204 profit (9.53% return on margin, 44 days, including non-trading days)
TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 May 18, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on April 1, 2013) => Closed TEVA short put spread $35/$37.5 at $0.13 on May 3, 2013. $0.19 profit (8.72% return on margin, 32 days, including non-trading days)
NOK credit short put spread $2.5/$3.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.37 credit, established on April 18, 2013) *High Reward/High Risk Position => Reduced the position by 1/3, closed at $0.23 with a profit on May 3, 2013. => Closed the remaining NOK short put spread $2.5/$3.5 at $0.08 on May 7, 2013. $0.29 profit (46% return on margin, 19 days, including non-trading days)
WFM credit put spread $80.5/$83 May 17, 2013 ($0.68 credit, established on March 13, 2013) => Closed WFM short put $83 May 17, 2013 at $0.05 on May 8, 2013. $0.63 profit (34.62% return on margin, 56 days, including non-trading days)
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Check Point: A Safe Bet To Ride The Rising Cyber-Security Trend [Seeking Alpha]
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) is the worldwide leader in securing the Internet, providing customers with uncompromised protection against all types of threats to reduce security complexity and lower total cost of ownership. Check Point offers its customers a portfolio of network security, data security and management solutions.
Innovative Security Solutions
Check Point continues to deliver innovative security solutions to protect both enterprises and consumers. With the recent release of new 600 Appliances, Check Point helps the small businesses to implement comprehensive security to ensure employees and data are protected at all times. Earlier in April, Check Point also launched its new 1100 Appliances to provide enterprise-class security in a compact desktop package, which is perfect for branch and remote offices.
Fundamentally, Check Point continues to benefit from the increasing demand to fight cybercrimes. Check Point has higher revenue growth (3 year average) of 13.3 as compared to the industry average of 6.4 for the industry of application software. Check Point has much higher margins as compared to the averages. Check Point also generates solid ROA of 14.0 and ROE of 18.9 as compared to the averages of 8.2 and 15.5. Check Point has a strong cash position with $1.39B total cash and zero total debt. Check Point also generates over $905M of operating cash flow with a levered free cash flow of $660M, ttm.
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