Optionity Daily Report 02/14/2013
Date: February 14, 2013
Daily Market Statistics
Source: Barrons
S&P 500 5-Day Daily Chart
Source: Google Finance
Economic Calendar
Source: Briefing
Options Market Recap
The market sentiment was driven by extreme greed with Fear & Greed Index at 87, which was the same as the previous day. As reported by CBOE, the total put/call ratio was 0.83 for the day. The index put/call ratio was 0.75, and the equity put/call ratio was 0.62. The CBOE volatility index (VIX) put/call ratio was 0.28. The stocks with unusual call activities had been identified through our daily options scanning process, with the scanning criteria where the daily call option volume ratio was above 2.00 (2x of the average call option volume) with a call option volume above 10,000. Unusual option activities can be an indicator or precursor of a major movement for the underlying stock.
| Symbol | Call Option Volume | Average Call Option Volume | Daily Volume Ratio | Events |
| LCC | 35,419 | 17,665 | 2.01 | Merger, Analyzed |
| GRPN | 22,699 | 11,287 | 2.01 | Position added by Tiger Global Management, Analyzed |
| CLF | 38,171 | 18,917 | 2.02 | Earnings |
| AA | 27,324 | 1,586 | 2.35 | |
| AXP | 10,975 | 4,433 | 2.48 | Analyzed |
| HPQ | 50,812 | 20,172 | 2.52 | Earnings Feb. 21 |
| NVDA | 31,513 | 12,305 | 2.56 | Earnings |
| BBY | 23,350 | 8,788 | 2.66 | Earning Feb. 28 |
| RIG | 11,706 | 4,325 | 2.71 | Earnings Feb. 24 |
| APA | 27,395 | 9,860 | 2.78 | Earnings |
| GM | 57.407 | 20,104 | 2.86 | Earnings |
| BTU | 20,269 | 7,057 | 2.87 | |
| CSCO | 131,967 | 44,867 | 2.94 | Earnings |
| STZ | 53,094 | 17,831 | 2.98 | Revised beer deal |
| CBS | 21,444 | 7,173 | 2.99 | Earnings |
| CSTR | 24,420 | 7,879 | 3.10 | Buy List, low PEG |
| ANR | 43,541 | 13,934 | 3.12 | Earnings |
| ABX | 40,339 | 10,899 | 3.70 | Earnings |
| NTAP | 40,673 | 10,726 | 3.79 | Earnings |
| MBI | 13,602 | 3,565 | 3.82 | Earnings Mar 1 |
| WFM | 12,389 | 3,144 | 3.94 | Earnings |
| MPC | 23,074 | 5,783 | 3.99 | Ex-dividend |
| WFR | 15,439 | 3,670 | 4.21 | Earnings |
| GNC | 11,719 | 2,719 | 4.31 | Earnings |
| PXD | 28,121 | 6,465 | 4.35 | Earnings |
| QLIK | 11,321 | 2,150 | 5.27 | Earnings |
| WM | 28,137 | 4,729 | 5.95 | Earnings |
| MRO | 27,739 | 4,336 | 6.40 | Ex-dividend |
| TWX | 17,850 | 2,508 | 7.12 | Eying Time Inn. Sale |
| TGT | 35,639 | 3,816 | 9.34 | Ex-dividend |
| AMAT | 211,049 | 21,648 | 9.75 | Ex-dividend |
| SLB | 176,261 | 17,544 | 10.05 | Ex-dividend |
| ADM | 92,698 | 6,238 | 14.86 | Ex-dividend |
Source: Schaeffer’s Research
Market Volatility and Analysis
For Option Equity Put/Call Ratio, the MACD (12, 26, 9) is showing a bearish trend and the MACD difference continues to converge. RSI (14) closed at 47.97. It could signal a market reversal if the MACD difference starts to converge and the MACD Histogram moves into the positive territory.
SPY opened lower and closed higher with 0.11% gain. The volume was 18.99M. On weekly basis, the MACD (12, 26, 9) is showing a bullish trend and the MACD Histogram increased slightly and closed at 0.876 (increased from 0.867). SPY is currently trading above its 200-day MA of $118.05 and its 50-day MA of $139.26. RSI (14) increased to 69.79 from 69.61 with increasing buying momentum. The next resistance is $154.09 (R1), followed by $161.81 (R2).
Optionity Core-20 Options Portfolio (Credit Put Strategy)
Stock criteria:
- Large Cap with low beta
- Fair/Under-valued
- Consistent, strong earnings
- Dividend distribution
- High liquidity, large volume
- Good/strong economic moat
This options portfolio consists of 20 core stocks. The portfolio will employee mainly the credit put strategy with the primary objective of generating consistent cash flow. The portfolio focuses on 1) sufficient sector diversification 2) risk/reward ratio control 3) margin of safety by leveraging options.
Daily portfolio performance will be updated at Seeking Alpha Instablog and Optionity.com.
Transaction details will be updated whenever new position is opened or the existing position is closed/expired/adjusted.
Core-20 Stocks Update
Pending transaction(s) to be setup:
Core 20 Positions:
Credit short put GE May 20, 2013 $20/$21 put (opens if GE pulls back to $21.50 range, Target $0.20)
Credit short put INTC Mar. 16, 2013 $19/20 put (Target $0.20)
Other Options Positions:
N/A
Existing Position(s):
Core 20 Positions:
N/A
Other Options Positions:
GLW credit short put spread $11/$12 Mar. 15, 2013 ($0.23 credit, established on February 7, 2013)
AKAM credit short put spread $30/$32 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on February 13, 2013)
NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.51 credit, established on February 14, 2013)
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