Optionity Daily Report 02/27/2013

Date: February 27, 2013

Daily Market Statistics

Source: Barrons

S&P 500 5-Day Daily Chart

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Source: Google Finance

Economic Calendar

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Source: Briefing

Options Market Recap

The market sentiment was driven by greed with Fear & Greed Index at 63, which had increased from the previous day closing of 61. As reported by CBOE, the total put/call ratio was 0.99 for the day. The index put/call ratio was 1.22, and the equity put/call ratio was 0.63. The CBOE volatility index (VIX) put/call ratio was 0.74. The stocks with unusual call activities had been identified through our daily options scanning process, with the scanning criteria where the daily call option volume ratio was above 2.00 (2x of the average call option volume) with a call option volume above 20,000. Unusual option activities can be an indicator or precursor of a major movement for the underlying stock.

Symbol Call Option Volume Average Call Option Volume Daily Volume Ratio Events
GRPN 112,625 19,354 5.82 Earnings
LCC 47,446 19,350 2.45 Defend Merger
JCP 45,637 19,877 2.30 Earnings
PCS 39,809 12,986 3.07 Earnings
S 37,277 15,785 2.36 Clearwire accepts Financing
PCLN 31,870 9,986 3.19 Earnings
WFM 23,596 4,345 5.43  
MPC 21,686 7,323 2.96  
ENDP 21,025 3,579 5.87 Earnings

Source: Schaeffer’s Research

Market Volatility and Analysis

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For Option Equity Put/Call Ratio, the MACD (12, 26, 9) had turned bearish again. RSI (14) closed at 48.86 (previous closing of 55.29). MACD Histogram is currently at -0.007. If Option Equity Put/Call Ratio ($CPCE) becomes bullish (bullish RSI and MACD), then the market is expected to decline.

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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

SPY opened flat and closed strongly higher at $151.91 (+1.26%). The volume was 30.65M. On weekly basis, the MACD (12, 26, 9) is showing a bullish trend and the MACD Histogram increased and closed at 0.652 (previous closing of 0.532). SPY is currently trading above its 200-day MA of $118.76 and its 50-day MA of $139.89. RSI (14) increased to 68.90 from 63.15 with an increasing buying momentum. The next resistance is $154.09 (R1), followed by $161.81 (R2).

Optionity Core-20 Options Portfolio (Credit Put Strategy)

Stock criteria:

  1.  Large Cap with low beta
  2.  Fair/Under-valued
  3.  Consistent, strong earnings
  4.  Dividend distribution
  5.  High liquidity, large volume
  6.  Good/strong economic moat

This options portfolio consists of 20 core stocks. The portfolio will employee mainly the credit put strategy with the primary objective of generating consistent cash flow. The portfolio focuses on 1) sufficient sector diversification 2) risk/reward ratio control 3) margin of safety by leveraging options.

Daily portfolio performance will be updated at Seeking Alpha Instablog and Optionity.com.

Transaction details will be updated whenever new position is opened or the existing position is closed/expired/adjusted.

Core-20 Stocks Update

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Pending transaction(s) to be setup:

Core 20 Positions:

Credit short put GE May 18, 2013 $20/$21 put (opens if GE pulls back to $21.50 range, Target $0.20)
Credit short put INTC Mar. 16, 2013 $19/20 put (Target $0.20)

Other Options Positions:

N/A

Existing Position(s):

Core 20 Positions:

MDLZ credit short put spread $22/$25 June 21, 2013 ($0.31 credit, established on February 15, 2013)

CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on February 25, 2013)

Other Options Positions:

AKAM credit short put spread $30/$32 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on February 13, 2013)

NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.51 credit, established on February 14, 2013)

Closed Position(s):

Core 20 Positions:

GLW credit short put spread $11/$12 Mar. 15, 2013 ($0.23 credit, established on February 7, 2013) => Closed short put $12 at $0.07 on February 20, 2013. $0.16 profit (20.78% Return on Margin, 13 days, including non-trading days). $11 put position was sold for $0.04 on February 26, 2013, adding $0.04 to the total profit.

Other Options Positions:

N/A

 

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